Evidence, impacts, and choices is intended to help people understand what is known about climate change. Climate change refers to changes in these statistics over years, decades, or even centuries. The effects and impacts of climate change are already being seen across the country and globe, and are expected to conti. An abrupt climate change scenario and its implications for. Working group iii contribution to the ipcc fifth assessment report. This report responds to the congressional request to the department of. Physical drivers of climate change climate science.
The intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc is the leading international body for the assessment of climate change. But there are synergies between climate change action and development. For example, according to climate change secretary, ed davey, the global warming dissenters are, without exception, wilfully ignorant and in the view of the prince ofwalesweareheadlesschickens. In communities across the nation, climate change is harming our health now. It is important for clinicians to understand this relationship in order to discuss associated health risks with their patients and to. Therefore the statistical tools to integrate social, economic and environmental. Sep 22, 2014 importance health is inextricably linked to climate change. Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe costing millions of lives in wars and natural disasters. For this report, the office of the secretary of defense requested information and inputs from the military departments, joint staff, geographic combatant commands, and other organizations. By john conger in the fiscal year 2018 national defense authorization act, the u. Congress asked the department of defense dod to provide a report on vulnerabilities to military installations and combatant commander requirements resulting from climate change over the next 20 years. Lord lawson of blaby was chancellor of the exchequer from 198389 and served as. The report concludes, with a high level of confidence, that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period since at least a.
It is in this context that dod is releasing a climate change adaptation roadmap. Climate change is already impacting the military itself, how it operates, and the countries in which we have an interest where it can result in instability, which leads to violence, which leads. Based on the evidence, more than 97 percent of climate scientists have concluded that humancaused climate change is happening. Scenario from a pentagoncommissioned report title page of futurist study commissioned by the pentagons office of net assessment, finalized in october 2003 and leaked via media on february 22, 2004. Our first step in planning for these challenges is to identify the effects of climate change on the department with tangible and. The balance of scientific research since the ipcc report. Physical drivers of climate change climate science special.
An abrupt climate change scenario and its implications for united. A hairraising pentagon report pdf on the potentially imminent and colossal national security threat posed by climate change has been making. Importance health is inextricably linked to climate change. Understanding climate science richard wolfson and stephen h. Unlike some in the trump administration, defense secretary jim mattis believes climate change is real and that it poses a threat to international security, according to a us media report. That report was delivered to congress yesterday, prosaicallytitled report on effects of. The pentagon on monday released a report asserting that climate change poses an immediate threat to national security, with increased risks. Ghg emissions growth between 2000 and 2010 has been larger. Restoring degraded habitats, conserving water, or gathering more information on snowpacks are examples that help people and ecosystems adapt to changing climate. The full report of the national climate assessment provides an indepth look at climate change impacts on the u. Climate change threatens national security says pentagon. Trends and implications of climate change for national and.
The report, titled report on effects of a changing climate to the. The problem, though, is that the pithy document will likely fall on deaf ears. Observations, projections, and general implications for viticulture and wine production article pdf available january 2007 with 696 reads how we measure reads. United nations framework convention on climate change. The report is intended to assist governments and other decisionmakers in the public and private sector in formulating and. First, it lays out the evidence that human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels, are responsible for much of the warming and related changes being observed around the world. The pentagons new climate change report is missing some important. United states department of agriculture forest service. Whether or not you become involved formally in teaching about climate change, you will gain a sufficiently high level of expertise to help others grasp the subject at the level needed by an informed citizenry. Its impacts and challenges according to the 20 intergovernmental panel on climate changes ipcc fifth assessment report. Epa has developed comprehensive technical documentation that describes the data sources and analytical methods for every indicator presented in the climate change indicators in the united states report.
Synergies between climate mitigation and adaptation in forest landscape restoration. It was established by the united nations environment programme unep and the world meteorological organization wmo in 1988 to provide the world with a clear scientific view on the current state of knowledge in climate change and its potential environmental and. We can make a difference by supporting the transition to a climateneutral world. This report responds to the request by the senate committee on appropriations for information on the national security implications of climate change made in the report to accompany h. Enormous progress has been made in increasing our understanding of climate change and its causes, and a clearer picture of current and future impacts is emerging. Climate change is expected to influence the work done by actuaries. Carbon dioxide is produced when fossil fuels are used to generate energy and when. Climate change threatens half of us bases worldwide. This video highlights the pentagons focus on climate change as the military examines potential risks, strategic responses, and impacts of climate change on future military and humanitarian missions. Oct 14, 2014 the pentagon on monday released a report asserting that climate change poses an immediate threat to national security, with increased risks from terrorism, infectious disease, global poverty and. The reality of humancaused climate change is no longer a matter of debate.
The effects of a changing climate are a national security issue with potential impacts to department of defense dod or the department. The climate change agenda has risen substantially in global and national importance and the topic has thus been given a dedicated chapter in this 2. Dod recognizes the reality of climate change and the significant risk it poses to u. National security implications of climate change united states. Intergovernmental panel on climate change, in 1988 with the intention of providing a clear scientific view on the current state of knowledge in climate change and its potential environmental and socioeconomic impacts. The physical science basis, intergovernmental panel on climate change 2007. Climate change adaptation dod can improve infrastructure planning and processes to better account for potential impacts. Trump likely wont care about pentagon report on climate change. The last section explains ways to approach the climate change problem. Roadmap, updated in 2014, is one of the major guiding documents behind. Advancing development goals in a sustainable way should thus be a central part of efforts.
This report begins with an overview of the impacts of climate change over. Implications for us national security of anticipated climate change. Chapters 1 to 4 of the report summarize our current scientific understanding of climate change and its global impact. Downloads for indicators technical documentation climate.
United nations framework convention on climate change february 2011 6 the ar4 synthesis report draws together and integrates up to date policyrelevant scientific, technical and socioeconomic information on climate change. The effect of climate change on water resources and programs introduction the goal of this module is to educate water program managers, as well as the general public, on the expected effects of climate change on water resources and water programs. Abstract this article discusses the limits of the anthropogenic global warming theory advocated by the intergov. Climate change, the increase in the concentrations of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere is the main cause of the intensification of the following phenomena. Climate change threatens half of us bases worldwide, pentagon. Us air force b52h stratofortresses at the airbase in diego garcia, british indian ocean territory. Climate change 7 climate change on a global scale, whether natural or due to human activity, can be initiated by processes that modify either the amount of energy absorbed from the sun, or the amount of infrared energy emitted to space.
Climate change and its causes a discussion about some key issues nicola scafetta 1. May 2014 gao14446 united states government accountability office. Pentagon signals security risks of climate change the. Positive forcings, such as those due to greenhouse gases, warm the earth, while negative forcings, such as aerosols, have a cooling effect.
It details the multitude of ways climate change is already affecting and will increasingly affect the lives of americans. Pentagon signals security risks of climate change the new. This knowledge will help us to prepare for and adapt to the effects of climate change. Planning handbook on climate change installation adaptation and resilience in january. Apocalyptic pentagon report on global warming could spur. The report builds on a number of other pentagon reports that have called climate change a threat multiplier that can alter dod priorities, such as mass migration and humanitarian aid. The pentagon released a congressionally mandated report pdf that warns flooding, drought and wildfires and other effects of climate change puts u. Climate change is a longterm trend, but with wise planning and risk mitigation now, we can reduce adverse impacts downrange. The pentagons new climate change report is missing some. In reading this chapter, it needs to be borne in mind. Key messages on human rights and climate change climate change impacts, directly and indirectly, an array of internationally guaranteed human rights. The designation of geographical entities in this book, and the presentation of the material, do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of iucn, the government of the united kingdom or other. The ipcc is an intergovernmental body which the member countries of both the unep and the wmo have joined.
The pentagon released a congressionally mandated report pdf that. Weareregularly referred to as climate change deniers, a phrase deliberately designed to echo. The effect of climate change on water resources and. For example, the new york metropolitan regions climate is temperate, with rain evenly distributed throughout the year, cold winters, and hot summers. A secret report, suppressed by us defence chiefs and obtained. Climate change refers to a significant change in weather patterns, as observed over decades or longer time p\. Climate change is real and a national security issue. Various climate drivers, or radiative forcings, act to either warm or cool the earth. In 2010, for the first time, the pentagon focused on climate change as a. A pentagon report has highlighted military bases vulnerability to the effects of climate change. Mar 16, 2017 unlike some in the trump administration, defense secretary jim mattis believes climate change is real and that it poses a threat to international security, according to a us media report. Finally, the author discusses a warmer future, explaining the future consequences of global warming and the tipping point.
Synergies between climate mitigation and adaptation in. This report is an authoritative assessment of the science of climate change, with a focus on the united states. Pentagon chief says climate change threatens security. Department of agriculture research, education and economics office of the chief scientist july 24, 2012 there is considerable sciencebased evidence that the global climate is changing, with increasing overall temperatures, increasing carbon dioxide co 2 and other greenhouse gases ghgs, and. The working group i contribution to the ipcc fifth assessment report wgi ar5 provides a comprehensive assessment of the physical science basis of climate change, drawing on the scientific literature accepted for publication up to 15 march 20. Report on effects of a changing climate to the department. It represents the first of two volumes of the fourth national climate assessment, mandated by the global change research act of 1990. Pentagon releases short report saying climate change is a threat. Planning handbook on climate change installation adaptation and. The effect of climate change on water resources and programs. The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet to the edge of anarchy as countries develop a nuclear threat to defend and secure dwindling food, water and energy supplies. Climate variability and climate change climate variability refers to variations in the prevailing state of the. Chapter 11 climate change department of environmental.
The basic science behind climate change is now accepted by the overwhelming majority of the scientific community and most. The first is to educate you in the science of climate. The purpose of this paper is to provide some background on the science of climate change, its impacts, key ways to minimize the damage and the roles that the actuarial profession can play in dealing. Since the industrial revolution, global temperatures have risen, driven by rising greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere1. Pentagon officials meanwhile declared that the abrupt climate change report, although commissioned by their legendary yoda, had not been passed on to marshalls superiors in the defense department and the bush administration san francisco chronicle, february 25, 2004. A pdf version of the technical documentation is provided below for each indicator, along with an overview that describes epas process for selecting and evaluating indicators.
Jan 31, 2018 us air force b52h stratofortresses at the airbase in diego garcia, british indian ocean territory. The washington post reported thursday that a 2016 draft of a pentagon report detailing the effects of climate change on u. Explore how climate change affects you and your family. Contribution of working group iii to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change edenhofer, o. Climate change threatens national security says pentagon climate change poses immediate risks to national security and will have broad and costly impacts on the way the us military carries out its missions, the pentagon said in a new report on the impact of climate change released on october. The intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc assessment in 2007, which involved a large number of the most eminent climate change scientists in the world, highlighted the severe climate effects that could result from a business as usual approach to global ghg emissions. The report explores how such an abrupt climate change scenario could potentially. An abrupt climate change scenario and its implications for united states national security october 2003 by peter schwartz and doug randall imagining the unthinkable the purpose of this report is to imagine the unthinkable to push the boundaries of current research on climate change so we may better understand the potential implications on. Chapter 1 in the ipcc fourth assessment report ar4 le treut et al. National research council, 2010a, advancing the science of climate change national research council, 2010b, limiting the magnitude of climate change national research council, 2010c, adapting to the impacts of climate change national research council, 2011d, informing an effective response to climate change. States dutybearers have an affirmative obligation to take effective measures to prevent and redress these climate impacts, and therefore, to mitigate climate change, and to ensure.
20 498 195 617 1035 1445 1602 633 1446 261 1229 1298 1075 59 910 980 233 348 346 1600 1350 1091 1110 183 1474 777 186